tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3607768067535353225.post2648183411347784758..comments2024-03-24T16:57:22.578-07:00Comments on Cribbage Pro Blog: Calculating the Odds of Winning a Cribbage Game – Part 1Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3607768067535353225.post-3808634065776759552022-04-13T07:32:46.872-07:002022-04-13T07:32:46.872-07:00Hi, if you have experience with data analysis and ...Hi, if you have experience with data analysis and would like to provide some insight to the cribbage community through that, please email us at support@FullerSystems.com with your proposal.Fuller Systems, Inc.https://www.blogger.com/profile/07977015944897965354noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3607768067535353225.post-60693325102868648442022-04-13T07:02:51.509-07:002022-04-13T07:02:51.509-07:00Are you going to be releasing the game data? And d...Are you going to be releasing the game data? And does it contain info on the hands? I’d like to do some analysis of what the best throws to the crib are. In particular, I want to look at hands where it could go either way (throwing different cards) and look at the data and see which one is better. I’d be happy to publish my results.Matt Baumgartnerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03942232792277712295noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3607768067535353225.post-12209695038657294752022-04-06T07:04:02.008-07:002022-04-06T07:04:02.008-07:00True, Sawyer. See my reply to Peterabc above.True, Sawyer. See my reply to Peterabc above.Donald Hellerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13255378507407179004noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3607768067535353225.post-46369036780519834862022-04-06T02:08:10.364-07:002022-04-06T02:08:10.364-07:00Thanks for your question. These probabilities do ...Thanks for your question. These probabilities do not take into account who is dealing; they are independent of the game situation other than the score (other posts have looked at this question, for example https://blog.cribbagepro.net/2012/11/cribbage-strategy-and-board-position.html). I will likely look at the impact of having the deal on win probabilities in future analyses. <br /><br />Remember, however, that having the deal is not always an advantage. For example, toward the end of the game, you may be better off being the Pone because the Pone counts first. So if the score is 113 for the Pone and 114 for the dealer, the Pone is likely in a better position because he or she counts first and the dealer is unlikely to get out.<br />Donald Hellerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10518638696172820714noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3607768067535353225.post-21720844357075928382022-04-05T13:47:48.266-07:002022-04-05T13:47:48.266-07:00Yes, that is an old, but regularly asked question....Yes, that is an old, but regularly asked question. Cribbage Pro uses only true random data to shuffle and produce a truly randomized deck each and every time. We cover this in the game FAQ and in several blog posts here as well. Your cut card is also always the card you select from the spread out deck shown - select the 12th card, get the 12th card.Fuller Systems, Inc.https://www.blogger.com/profile/07977015944897965354noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3607768067535353225.post-62862959700302029832022-04-05T13:43:47.203-07:002022-04-05T13:43:47.203-07:00I suspect this is an old query: Is Cribbage Pro a ...I suspect this is an old query: Is Cribbage Pro a game constructed from random hands? My sense after playing 250 times is that the hands are set up as specialized challenges and depend on guesswork about a prescribed cut card. Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02255441003368565046noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3607768067535353225.post-15045118386644666182022-04-05T11:56:18.736-07:002022-04-05T11:56:18.736-07:00In cribbage, who has the deal has a great impact u...In cribbage, who has the deal has a great impact upon the outcome at different stages of the game. For example, in your table with player 1 at 100 and player 2 at 110, I would guess that if player 2 was dealer, the odds of player 2 winning would be significantly higher than 78 percent and if player 1 was dealer, the odds of player 2 winning would be less than 78 percent. It would be interesting to see the statistics provided for each case (dealer/non-dealer). Sawyerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15008787491517676270noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3607768067535353225.post-61376133424069189442022-04-05T11:54:10.560-07:002022-04-05T11:54:10.560-07:00Very interesting... Do the probabilities for the s...Very interesting... Do the probabilities for the scores need to take account of whether one is the dealer (with box) or the non dealer.. being ahead 110 to 105 is very different if one is scoring first (non dealer) or second (dealer)Peterabchttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13282857412781571641noreply@blogger.com